Prime
TPM Reader CR takes a simple approach ..
I see this election in fairly straightforward terms:
Trump has basically had his average approval rating written in stone at about 43%, and his disapproval rating in the 52-54% range. Since, by virtually every survey, this looks to be a huge turnout election and not a “base” election, those percentages should be more accurate than if it was a base election.
TPM Reader MR says it’s not all about the presidential horse race …
I’d like to expand on an important disagreement I have with a portion of your recent Editor’s Blog post “Don’t go overboard with this”. It’s a disagreement that I have with you that spans several of your posts, and I think it’s summed up nicely here.
You wrote, “Given the enormous stakes, you don’t just want someone who has a shot. You want to be sure it’s the candidate with the best shot, to the extent you can ascertain that.“ I disagree with this statement vehemently. I suppose this is the liberal version of the old “Buckley Standard”. It’s something that I felt was cynical when he laid it out, and I find defeatist and shortsighted in this context.
My discussion with TPM’s publisher Joe Ragazzo is posted in the TPM briefings archive.
It was a fun conversation with TPM Insiders about some of the difficulties facing the news business — from the decline of local newspapers to changes in how small outlets like TPM approach what they do to what Trump’s election has meant for us.
We also speculated a bit about what the future might hold, for us and for all journalists.
Where Things Stand: Why Did Collins Turn Down Trump Just To Defy His Party, Pursue Pipe Dream?
There’s got to be something going on behind the scenes here.
Rep. Doug Collins (R-GA) has been a bulldog for President Trump from his perch on the House Judiciary Committee for months, most notably with his aggressive defense of the President throughout the impeachment inquiry. Trump rewarded his loyalty by floating to reporters Thursday night that the lawmakers is among the candidates he’s considering to become director of national intelligence.
Tomorrow, TPM’s publisher, Joe Ragazzo, is going to be doing an Inside briefing with me. I asked Joe how he’d describe himself. Answer: “Josh’s right-hand man and dauphin, appointed heir and God’s leftenant.”
Make of that what you will, but Joe’s an expert in the business of online news — one that has reinvented itself several times even in the last few years. This is your chance to ask him anything you want to ask him about TPM or the news business writ large.
Register here to join us on Friday at 3 p.m.
Mulling A Possible Contested Convention, Pt. II
Reader RS has a different perspective from AC — “ultimately, the party should be allowed to pick” who wins the nomination, he writes.
Here’s part of his email.
As far as I understand it, the Democratic Party has always required a majority vote at the Convention to nominate a candidate. If that doesn’t occur on the first ballot, pledged delegates are released and the deliberations continue. That reflects the desire to try, as best as possible, to get a consensus nominee.
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Mulling A Possible Contested Convention, Pt. I
Readers have been writing in about the possibility that, by this summer, Democrats could be facing a contested convention — one in which Bernie Sanders is leading in delegates, but without enough to win the nomination outright.
Reader AC reflects on the angst that could result should the party step in and select another nominee.
I get that there are reasons to be worried about Bernie, but I think the worries about the other candidates, and especially a contested convention in which a Bernie clear lead doesn’t translate to a Bernie nomination, should be much more significant.
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